Previous Year Question
In the context of India, which of the following factors is/are contributor/contributors to reducing the risk of a currency crisis?
The foreign currency earnings of India’s IT sector
Increasing government expenditure
Remittances from Indians abroad
Select the correct answer using the code given below:
1 only
1 and 3 only
2 only
1, 2 and 3
Correct Answer: B
Detailed Solution
A currency crisis refers to a situation in which a country’s currency comes under severe depreciation pressure. It may result from a sharp rise in demand for foreign currency, capital outflows, a widening Current Account Deficit or inadequate Forex Reserves.
Statement 1 is correct
India’s IT and IT-enabled services sector earns foreign currency by exporting services.
When an Indian IT company provides services to an overseas client, payment is generally received in foreign currency. These earnings:
Increase services-export receipts in the Balance of Payments.
Help finance the Current Account Deficit.
Increase the domestic availability of foreign currency.
Reduce depreciation pressure on the rupee.
Strengthen the capacity to accumulate Forex Reserves.
Therefore, the foreign-currency earnings of the IT sector reduce India’s external vulnerability.
Statement 2 is incorrect
An increase in government expenditure does not automatically generate foreign-exchange earnings. If it raises aggregate demand and imports, it may:
Widen the Trade Deficit and Current Account Deficit.
Increase demand for foreign currency.
Increase the Fiscal Deficit and government borrowing.
Raise the risk of capital outflows if investor confidence weakens.
Thus, increasing government expenditure by itself cannot be treated as a factor that necessarily reduces the risk of a currency crisis.
Statement 3 is correct
Money transferred to India by Indians working abroad is recorded as Workers’ Remittances or private transfers.
Remittances provide a relatively stable source of foreign-exchange inflow. They:
Enter the Current Account under secondary-income receipts.
Finance a part of the Merchandise Trade Deficit.
Support household income and domestic consumption.
Reduce pressure on external payments.
Support Forex Reserves and currency stability.
India has consistently remained among the world’s largest recipients of remittances. Hence, Statement 3 is correct.