JAGTIV · Previous Year Questions

UPSC

ECONOMY · 2015

Previous Year Question

Which one of the following issues the ‘Global Economic Prospects’ report periodically?

A.

The Asian Development Bank

B.

The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development

C.

The US Federal Reserve Bank

D.

The World Bank

Correct Answer: D

Detailed Solution

The Global Economic Prospects—GEP is a flagship global economic report published by the World Bank. It is generally issued twice a year and analyses the outlook for the world economy, with particular attention to emerging market and developing economies—EMDEs.

The report principally examines:

  • Real GDP growth at the global and regional levels.

  • Economic prospects of emerging and developing economies.

  • Inflation, interest rates and monetary conditions.

  • International trade and commodity prices.

  • Global financial conditions and capital flows.

  • Risks arising from government and external debt.

  • Geopolitical tensions and policy uncertainty.

  • Growth and per capita income trends in low-income countries.

The GEP does not merely estimate growth for the current year. It generally provides forecasts for subsequent years and examines alternative scenarios and risks surrounding those forecasts.

It should be distinguished from other major outlook reports:

Report

Publisher

Principal focus

Global Economic Prospects

World Bank

Global and developing-economy growth

World Economic Outlook

IMF

Global macroeconomic outlook

Asian Development Outlook

Asian Development Bank

Asia and the Pacific

Economic Outlook

OECD

Mainly OECD and partner economies

The Asian Development Bank, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development and US Federal Reserve do not publish the report bearing this title.

Current position (September 2026)

The World Bank continues to publish Global Economic Prospects as a biannual report. As of September 2026, the latest available June 2026 edition is titled Navigating a Cloudy Outlook.

According to this edition:

  • Global growth was projected at 2.5% in 2026.

  • Growth in low-income countries was projected at 5.4%.

  • South Asia was expected to remain the fastest-growing EMDE region in 2026.

  • Major downside risks included geopolitical conflict, commodity-market disruptions, expensive debt and policy uncertainty.

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