JAGTIV · Previous Year Questions

UPSC

ECONOMY · 2016

Previous Year Question

Which of the following best describes the term ‘import cover’, sometimes seen in the news?

A.

It is the ratio of value of imports to the Gross Domestic Product of a country.

B.

It is the total value of imports of a country in a year.

C.

It is the ratio between the value of exports and that of imports between two countries.

D.

It is the number of months of imports that could be paid for by a country’s international reserves.

Correct Answer: D

Detailed Solution

Import cover means the number of months for which a country can finance its imports using its available foreign-exchange reserves or international reserve assets.

It is generally calculated as:

For example, if a country has foreign-exchange reserves of US$600 billion and its annual imports amount to US$720 billion, then:

This means that the country’s reserves could theoretically finance ten months of imports.

Import cover is important because:

  • It indicates a country’s capacity to meet its external-payment requirements.

  • Higher import cover generally indicates greater ability to absorb external shocks, capital outflows or a decline in export earnings.

  • Low import cover may signal pressure on foreign-exchange liquidity and the balance of payments.

  • It is also relevant for assessing exchange-rate stability and external-investor confidence.

It must be distinguished from the other options:

  • The imports-to-GDP ratio in option (a) may indicate import dependence or trade openness; it is not import cover.

  • Option (b) merely represents the total annual value of imports.

  • Option (c) is an exports-to-imports ratio related to merchandise-trade performance.

Import cover compares available reserves with the average monthly import bill.

Current position (2026)

The RBI uses import cover along with foreign-exchange reserves, short-term external debt, external commercial borrowings and other reserve-adequacy indicators while assessing India’s external-sector position.

Import cover is not a fixed figure. It changes whenever the stock of foreign-exchange reserves or the import bill changes. Therefore, every import-cover figure must be read with its corresponding reference date or period.

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